Avaí vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 1
PAR
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 2
AVA
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 0
AMF
27%
30%
42%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
AVA
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
JUV
3 - 0
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
CON
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CON
0 - 2
CHA
22%
29%
49%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
AMF
2 - 1
CON
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 3
CON
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |