Auxerre vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
SOC
1 - 0
AUX
37%
29%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
AUX
1 - 1
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 0
AUX
25%
29%
47%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
PSG
1 - 0
AUX
49%
27%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
AUX
2 - 0
REN
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
TFC
1 - 2
STR
40%
29%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 0
TFC
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
TFC
1 - 0
NAN
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 3
TFC
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LMU
1 - 1
TFC
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |