Auxerre vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
MAR
0 - 3
AUX
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
AUX
0 - 1
GIR
59%
23%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
ASS
1 - 0
AUX
38%
29%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1993 |
AUX
0 - 0
CAN
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
NAN
1 - 2
AUX
40%
29%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
LIL
2 - 1
LYO
47%
29%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
MET
1 - 1
LIL
56%
26%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
LIL
1 - 1
ANG
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1993 |
CAE
2 - 3
LIL
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
LIL
0 - 0
MPL
35%
31%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |