Auxerre vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
STR
1 - 3
AUX
42%
27%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
AUX
3 - 2
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
GIR
1 - 0
AUX
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
AUX
2 - 1
ASS
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
LYO
0 - 0
AUX
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
BAS
2 - 0
LEN
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
ASS
1 - 1
BAS
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 1
LHA
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
SED
2 - 0
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASN
59%
24%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |