Austria XIII vs Gerasdorf Stammersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
9º
14º
11º
34
7º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 0
ASV
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
4 - 2
AUS
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 2
SIM
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 0
AUS
45%
21%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AUS
4 - 2
KAG
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
GER
1 - 1
SCH
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 0
GER
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
GER
0 - 0
FCW
42%
22%
37%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KAG
3 - 0
GER
20%
19%
61%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
GER
4 - 1
SKS
23%
21%
57%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +3 |