Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
SWW
2 - 4
AUS
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
AUS
0 - 1
RAD
85%
9%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1969 |
AUS
4 - 1
VIE
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1969 |
WIN
1 - 2
AUS
45%
22%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
AUS
2 - 0
WIE
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
STR
1 - 0
WIN
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
STR
1 - 1
WIE
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1969 |
LIN
0 - 2
STR
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
STR
0 - 2
EIS
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -3 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
FCK
1 - 1
STR
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |