Champions League Last 16
Global 1-3
Austria Wien vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
AUS
2 - 0
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
LAS
1 - 2
AUS
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
BYM
2 - 0
AUS
74%
16%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
AUS
1 - 1
GRA
82%
12%
7%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1986 |
EIS
1 - 5
AUS
20%
25%
56%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
BYM
0 - 3
LEV
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
HSV
1 - 3
BYM
41%
27%
33%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
BYM
2 - 0
AUS
74%
16%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
BWB
1 - 1
BYM
21%
23%
56%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
EIN
0 - 0
BYM
20%
25%
55%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |