UEFA EC U21 Grupo B round 3

Austria U21 vs Germany U21 analysis

Austria U21 Germany U21
69 ELO 81
12.7% Tilt -9.2%
1323º General ELO ranking 339º
18º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
20.3%
Austria U21
20.5%
Draw
59.3%
Germany U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
Austria U21
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59.2%
Win probability
Germany U21
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Austria U21
+2%
+1%
Germany U21

ELO progression

Austria U21
Germany U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Austria U21
Austria U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2019
DEN
Denmark U21
3 - 1
Austria U21
AUT
48%
24%
29%
70 66 4 0
17 Jun. 2019
SRB
Serbia U21
0 - 2
Austria U21
AUT
48%
25%
27%
69 70 1 +1
11 Jun. 2019
AUT
Austria U21
3 - 1
France U21
FRA
26%
24%
50%
68 81 13 +1
25 Mar. 2019
ESP
Spain U21
3 - 0
Austria U21
AUT
74%
17%
9%
68 85 17 0
21 Mar. 2019
ITA
Italy U21
0 - 0
Austria U21
AUT
57%
24%
19%
69 77 8 -1

Matches

Germany U21
Germany U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2019
GER
Germany U21
6 - 1
Serbia U21
SRB
70%
18%
12%
81 69 12 0
17 Jun. 2019
GER
Germany U21
3 - 1
Denmark U21
DEN
71%
18%
12%
81 67 14 0
26 Mar. 2019
ENG
England U21
1 - 2
Germany U21
GER
45%
23%
32%
81 80 1 0
21 Mar. 2019
GER
Germany U21
2 - 2
France U21
FRA
48%
24%
28%
81 81 0 0
19 Nov. 2018
ITA
Italy U21
1 - 2
Germany U21
GER
30%
25%
45%
81 77 4 0