Australia U20 vs France U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
78.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SUI
1 - 0
AUS
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ENG
3 - 0
AUS
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 3
CHI
17%
19%
64%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
0 - 1
MAR
41%
23%
37%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
AUS
0 - 1
BRA
8%
17%
75%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | +4 |
Matches
France U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
ROU
2 - 4
FRA
8%
18%
75%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 2
NOR
72%
18%
11%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 0
NIR
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
SCO
1 - 3
FRA
9%
18%
73%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
ISL
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |