MLS Next Pro Temporada Regular round 5

Austin FC II vs St. Louis II analysis

Austin FC II St. Louis II
47 ELO 58
-3.7% Tilt -14.9%
4311º General ELO ranking 2157º
80º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
26.6%
Austin FC II
24.2%
Draw
49.2%
St. Louis II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
Austin FC II
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.2%
Win probability
St. Louis II
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Austin FC II
+20%
-1%
St. Louis II

ELO progression

Austin FC II
St. Louis II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Austin FC II
Austin FC II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2024
HOU
Houston Dynamo II
0 - 1
Austin FC II
AFC
60%
23%
17%
46 56 10 0
20 Mar. 2024
AFC
Austin FC II
2 - 2
Foro SC
FSC
76%
15%
9%
46 7 39 0
16 Mar. 2024
AFC
Austin FC II
1 - 3
Tacoma Defiance
TAC
25%
24%
50%
47 61 14 -1
22 Oct. 2023
COL
Columbus Crew II
1 - 3
Austin FC II
AFC
79%
14%
7%
45 65 20 +2
16 Oct. 2023
COR
Colorado Rapids II
0 - 0
Austin FC II
AFC
73%
17%
10%
45 57 12 0

Matches

St. Louis II
St. Louis II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2024
STL
St. Louis II
1 - 1
Portland Timbers II
POR
66%
19%
15%
58 39 19 0
31 Mar. 2024
SPK
Sporting Kansas City II
1 - 2
St. Louis II
STL
36%
24%
40%
57 50 7 +1
25 Mar. 2024
STL
St. Louis II
1 - 1
North Texas
NOT
50%
25%
25%
58 55 3 -1
18 Mar. 2024
STL
St. Louis II
1 - 2
Colorado Rapids II
COR
47%
25%
28%
58 57 1 0
02 Oct. 2023
STL
St. Louis II
0 - 2
The Town FC
SAN
55%
24%
21%
60 53 7 -2