Regionalliga Bayern round 1

FC Augsburg II vs Nürnberg II analysis

FC Augsburg II Nürnberg II
43 ELO 50
5.4% Tilt -1.4%
3655º General ELO ranking 3438º
105º Country ELO ranking 96º
ELO win probability
32.4%
FC Augsburg II
26%
Draw
41.6%
Nürnberg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
FC Augsburg II
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.6%
Win probability
Nürnberg II
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Augsburg II
-19%
-14%
Nürnberg II

ELO progression

FC Augsburg II
Nürnberg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Augsburg II
FC Augsburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 2016
AUG
FC Augsburg II
1 - 0
Rosenheim
ROS
58%
22%
20%
42 36 6 0
24 May. 2016
ROS
Rosenheim
2 - 1
FC Augsburg II
AUG
28%
26%
46%
43 35 8 -1
21 May. 2016
AUG
FC Augsburg II
7 - 2
Memmingen
MEM
42%
25%
33%
41 43 2 +2
14 May. 2016
BAY
Bayern München II
2 - 1
FC Augsburg II
AUG
58%
23%
19%
41 47 6 0
07 May. 2016
AUG
FC Augsburg II
1 - 2
Schalding-Heining
SCH
61%
22%
17%
42 35 7 -1

Matches

Nürnberg II
Nürnberg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2016
NUR
Nürnberg II
4 - 2
Chelsea U21
CHE
44%
24%
32%
49 47 2 0
21 May. 2016
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
0 - 1
Nürnberg II
NUR
62%
22%
17%
48 53 5 +1
16 May. 2016
NUR
Nürnberg II
2 - 1
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
60%
22%
18%
48 41 7 0
06 May. 2016
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1 - 0
Nürnberg II
NUR
28%
25%
47%
49 36 13 -1
30 Apr. 2016
UNT
Unterhaching
1 - 1
Nürnberg II
NUR
60%
22%
18%
49 53 4 0