Auerbach vs Neustrelitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
53.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GER
2 - 0
AUE
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
AUE
2 - 1
MAG
27%
25%
49%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 0
AUE
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
AUE
1 - 3
BAK
56%
24%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VIK
0 - 0
AUE
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Neustrelitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAG
1 - 2
NEU
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NEU
1 - 2
BAK
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
WAC
2 - 1
NEU
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NEU
0 - 0
ZWI
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MEU
4 - 1
NEU
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -2 |