Audax São Paulo vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
AUD
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
AUD
51%
22%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 3
ATL
53%
22%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 2
UNI
66%
19%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FER
1 - 2
AUD
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
ATL
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
FER
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FER
0 - 2
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
5 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FER
1 - 2
AUD
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |