Carioca 1 Copa Guanabara round 10

Audax Rio vs Botafogo analysis

Audax Rio Botafogo
44 ELO 89
-14.1% Tilt -19.6%
5136º General ELO ranking 76º
188º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
5.8%
Audax Rio
20.4%
Draw
73.8%
Botafogo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
Audax Rio
0.31
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
20.4%
73.8%
Win probability
Botafogo
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
22.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
28.8%
0-2
19.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
23.4%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.2%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Audax Rio
+40%
+18%
Botafogo

ELO progression

Audax Rio
Botafogo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Audax Rio
Audax Rio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2024
AUD
Audax Rio
0 - 0
Portuguesa RJ
POR
14%
23%
63%
43 65 22 0
19 Feb. 2024
AUD
Audax Rio
1 - 2
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
18%
22%
60%
44 55 11 -1
15 Feb. 2024
POR
Portuguesa RJ
1 - 0
Audax Rio
AUD
82%
13%
5%
44 64 20 0
09 Feb. 2024
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 0
Audax Rio
AUD
87%
11%
3%
44 83 39 0
05 Feb. 2024
AUD
Audax Rio
0 - 1
Bangu
BAN
45%
26%
29%
45 45 0 -1

Matches

Botafogo
Botafogo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2024
AUR
Aurora
1 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
16%
25%
59%
89 68 21 0
18 Feb. 2024
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 4
Vasco da Gama
VAS
69%
19%
12%
89 83 6 0
14 Feb. 2024
VOL
Volta Redonda
0 - 3
Botafogo
BOT
18%
25%
57%
89 67 22 0
08 Feb. 2024
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
52%
24%
23%
90 90 0 -1
03 Feb. 2024
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 2
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
84%
12%
4%
90 54 36 0