Auckland United vs Western Springs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
11º
5º
43
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
HAW
1 - 1
AFC
19%
20%
61%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 2
TCU
21%
21%
58%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +3 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 2
MAN
60%
19%
21%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 0
AFC
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 1
NGA
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Western Springs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WES
3 - 3
BIR
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
BAO
2 - 0
WES
18%
18%
64%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
WES
4 - 2
MAN
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WES
3 - 2
EAS
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
BIR
4 - 1
WES
45%
21%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |