OFC Champions Final

Auckland City vs Team Wellington analysis

Auckland City Team Wellington
68 ELO 65
31.4% Tilt 9.3%
4115º General ELO ranking 25615º
Country ELO ranking 140º
ELO win probability
44.9%
Auckland City
21.6%
Draw
33.6%
Team Wellington

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
Auckland City
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.6%
Win probability
Team Wellington
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Auckland City
Team Wellington
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auckland City
Auckland City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2016
AUC
Auckland City
4 - 2
Tefana
TEF
89%
8%
3%
66 32 34 0
17 Apr. 2016
AUC
Auckland City
3 - 1
Amicale
AMI
91%
7%
2%
66 32 34 0
13 Apr. 2016
TOT
Lae City
1 - 2
Auckland City
AUC
6%
12%
82%
66 40 26 0
10 Apr. 2016
AUC
Auckland City
4 - 0
Solomon Warriors FC
SOL
91%
7%
2%
66 29 37 0
10 Mar. 2016
AUC
Auckland City
2 - 4
Team Wellington
TEA
54%
22%
24%
67 65 2 -1

Matches

Team Wellington
Team Wellington
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2016
TEA
Team Wellington
2 - 0
Magenta
MAG
88%
9%
3%
67 35 32 0
16 Apr. 2016
TEA
Team Wellington
4 - 0
Hekari United FC
HEK
88%
9%
3%
67 33 34 0
12 Apr. 2016
LOS
Lössi
1 - 2
Team Wellington
TEA
6%
13%
81%
67 28 39 0
09 Apr. 2016
TEA
Team Wellington
2 - 0
Suva
SUV
90%
8%
2%
67 29 38 0
10 Mar. 2016
AUC
Auckland City
2 - 4
Team Wellington
TEA
54%
22%
24%
65 67 2 +2