Aucas vs Santa Rita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LDU
2 - 0
AUC
33%
28%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
AUC
4 - 1
MUS
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
AUC
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AUC
4 - 0
IMB
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
AUC
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SSR
1 - 0
TEC
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
SSR
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SSR
1 - 0
LOJ
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
LDU
0 - 0
SSR
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
OLM
1 - 0
SSR
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |