Aubstadt vs Türkgücü München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
16º
10º
13
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 39 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 38 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 38 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 33 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 26 |
17º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
13 | 25 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 89% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
3 - 1
AUB
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 3
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
AUB
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AUB
5 - 1
FCC
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 0
ELT
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Türkgücü München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 2
AUG
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
TAM
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 2
WUR
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 0
IMS
23%
21%
55%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 2
TAM
12%
18%
70%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |