Aubstadt vs Amberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ERL
1 - 0
AUB
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AUB
4 - 1
WUR
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FRO
0 - 3
AUB
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 0
WEI
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NEU
0 - 5
AUB
32%
24%
43%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
AMB
3 - 3
ELT
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AMB
0 - 2
JRE
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ERL
2 - 0
AMB
19%
22%
60%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AMB
2 - 1
WUR
65%
19%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FRO
1 - 3
AMB
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |