Aubervilliers vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
54.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
11º
16º
15º
19
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 61 |
1º
|
49.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 60 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 48 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 47 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 46 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 44 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 42 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 37 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 37 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 35 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 25 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
16º
|
6 | 23 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 23 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
13% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
78.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
AUB
44%
25%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 0
BOB
19%
25%
56%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FEI
2 - 1
AUB
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 0
FLE
17%
24%
60%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ASB
1 - 0
AUB
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SPI
2 - 4
BIE
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SPI
1 - 1
FCS
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BOB
2 - 1
SPI
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SPI
1 - 0
FEI
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 0
SPI
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |