Atlético Sorocaba vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
ATL
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
AUD
51%
22%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 3
ATL
53%
22%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
5 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 1
ATL
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
AUD
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
FER
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FER
0 - 2
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 2
UNI
66%
19%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 1
ATL
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |