Apertura Argentina round 8

Atletico Rafaela vs Tigre analysis

Atletico Rafaela Tigre
79 ELO 79
8.3% Tilt -7.9%
1307º General ELO ranking 282º
63º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
46.4%
Atletico Rafaela
25.2%
Draw
28.5%
Tigre

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
Atletico Rafaela
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.5%
Win probability
Tigre
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atletico Rafaela
-9%
+5%
Tigre

ELO progression

Atletico Rafaela
Tigre
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atletico Rafaela
Atletico Rafaela
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2012
CAU
Unión Santa Fe
0 - 0
Atletico Rafaela
RAF
35%
28%
37%
78 73 5 0
08 Sep. 2012
RAF
Atletico Rafaela
2 - 1
All Boys
ALB
53%
25%
22%
78 77 1 0
02 Sep. 2012
BOC
Boca Juniors
2 - 1
Atletico Rafaela
RAF
61%
22%
17%
78 83 5 0
26 Aug. 2012
RAF
Atletico Rafaela
1 - 1
Quilmes
QUI
51%
26%
23%
78 79 1 0
19 Aug. 2012
GOD
Godoy Cruz
2 - 0
Atletico Rafaela
RAF
42%
27%
31%
79 75 4 -1

Matches

Tigre
Tigre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2012
TIG
Tigre
2 - 2
Colón
COL
49%
25%
26%
80 80 0 0
10 Sep. 2012
CAU
Unión Santa Fe
1 - 1
Tigre
TIG
31%
28%
41%
80 73 7 0
02 Sep. 2012
TIG
Tigre
1 - 1
San Lorenzo
SLO
61%
23%
16%
80 76 4 0
31 Aug. 2012
TIG
Tigre
4 - 1
Argentinos Juniors
ARG
52%
24%
24%
79 78 1 +1
25 Aug. 2012
ALB
All Boys
2 - 2
Tigre
TIG
39%
28%
33%
79 77 2 0