Atletico Rafaela vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2006 |
HUR
1 - 0
RAF
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
SMA
2 - 1
RAF
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
RAF
0 - 0
CAI
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
TIG
0 - 0
RAF
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2006 |
RAF
2 - 1
INS
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
ALM
2 - 1
CAI
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
TIG
0 - 1
ALM
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
ALM
0 - 2
INS
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
TFE
2 - 3
ALM
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2006 |
ALM
0 - 0
OLI
28%
28%
45%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |