Tercera RFEF XIV - Extremadura round 30

Pueblonuevo vs Trujillo analysis

Pueblonuevo Trujillo
17 ELO 21
-14% Tilt -14.5%
10877º General ELO ranking 11246º
480º Country ELO ranking 523º
ELO win probability
29.3%
Pueblonuevo
25%
Draw
45.7%
Trujillo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
Pueblonuevo
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.7%
Win probability
Trujillo
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pueblonuevo
-7%
-24%
Trujillo

Points and table prediction

Pueblonuevo
Their league position
Trujillo
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
15º
11º
44
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AD Llerenense
64
64
100%
CD Azuaga
62
62
100%
Moralo
54
55
72%
Olivenza
53
54
72%
Jerez
48
51
100%
Arroyo
46
46
100%
Trujillo
44
44
72%
Villafranca
42
43
72%
Calamonte
39
40
81.5%
UD Fuente de Cantos
10º
38
38
10º
81.5%
Pueblonuevo
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Montehermoso
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Miajadas
13º
26
27
13º
100%
CD Don Álvaro
15º
24
25
14º
100%
Plasencia
14º
24
24
15º
100%
UC La Estrella
16º
21
21
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pueblonuevo
Trujillo
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Pueblonuevo
Trujillo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pueblonuevo
Pueblonuevo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2023
CDD
CD Don Álvaro
2 - 1
Pueblonuevo
PUE
33%
24%
43%
17 13 4 0
06 Apr. 2023
PUE
Pueblonuevo
1 - 2
CD Azuaga
AZU
17%
23%
60%
17 30 13 0
01 Apr. 2023
ADL
AD Llerenense
3 - 3
Pueblonuevo
PUE
75%
16%
9%
18 29 11 -1
26 Mar. 2023
PUE
Pueblonuevo
4 - 0
UC La Estrella
UCL
59%
22%
20%
17 13 4 +1
19 Mar. 2023
OLI
Olivenza
2 - 1
Pueblonuevo
PUE
68%
19%
14%
17 22 5 0

Matches

Trujillo
Trujillo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2023
TRU
Trujillo
1 - 2
Montehermoso
MON
62%
22%
16%
22 15 7 0
06 Apr. 2023
VIL
Villafranca
3 - 1
Trujillo
TRU
27%
25%
47%
23 18 5 -1
02 Apr. 2023
TRU
Trujillo
0 - 2
Calamonte
CAL
55%
24%
21%
24 19 5 -1
26 Mar. 2023
JER
Jerez
1 - 0
Trujillo
TRU
37%
26%
37%
24 23 1 0
19 Mar. 2023
TRU
Trujillo
0 - 0
UD Fuente de Cantos
UDF
60%
22%
17%
24 18 6 0