Conmebol Sudamericana Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Athletico Paranaense vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
2 - 1
VAS
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
0 - 2
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATP
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATP
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 1
BOC
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
ATT
1 - 0
RAC
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 0
IND
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
RAC
6 - 1
HUA
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NOB
0 - 1
RAC
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |