Athletico Paranaense vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 0
COT
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
AMF
2 - 1
ATP
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ATP
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAO
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
ATP
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LON
1 - 0
TCW
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
TCW
0 - 1
LON
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
NPR
0 - 1
LON
25%
23%
52%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
FOZ
3 - 3
LON
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
LON
2 - 1
GRE
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |