Copa Libertadores Jor. 2

Athletico Paranaense vs Libertad analysis

Athletico Paranaense Libertad
84 ELO 75
9.3% Tilt 11.1%
65º General ELO ranking 452º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
65.7%
Athletico Paranaense
19.6%
Draw
14.7%
Libertad

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
Athletico Paranaense
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.7%
Win probability
Libertad
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Athletico Paranaense
-1%
+18%
Libertad

ELO progression

Athletico Paranaense
Libertad
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2005
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
3 - 1
AC Paranavaí
ACP
95%
4%
1%
84 46 38 0
23 Feb. 2005
FRB
Francisco Beltrão
2 - 3
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
7%
16%
77%
84 36 48 0
20 Feb. 2005
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
2 - 2
Imperio Toledo
IMP
93%
6%
1%
84 9 75 0
16 Feb. 2005
IND
Independiente Medellín
2 - 2
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
38%
26%
36%
84 80 4 0
13 Feb. 2005
NPR
Nacional PR
1 - 0
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
7%
16%
77%
84 37 47 0

Matches

Libertad
Libertad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2005
GEN
General Caballero SC
0 - 1
Libertad
LIB
26%
26%
49%
75 64 11 0
21 Feb. 2005
LIB
Libertad
0 - 2
Nacional
NAC
54%
24%
22%
76 71 5 -1
17 Feb. 2005
LIB
Libertad
1 - 2
América de Cali
AME
45%
26%
29%
77 80 3 -1
13 Feb. 2005
LIB
Libertad
0 - 4
Tacuary
TAC
58%
24%
18%
77 70 7 0
05 Dec. 2004
TAC
Tacuary
1 - 1
Libertad
LIB
30%
26%
44%
78 70 8 -1
X