Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs Final
Global 2-2
Athletico Paranaense vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
ATP
44%
29%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 2
ATP
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 2
ATP
40%
29%
31%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 2
CEA
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
ATP
1 - 0
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
JUN
4 - 1
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
ATP
44%
29%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 0
SFE
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
AGU
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 3
JUN
32%
29%
40%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |