Athletico Paranaense vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 2
ATP
9%
19%
72%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
3 - 1
RIO
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 0
RIO
85%
12%
4%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
ATP
29%
24%
47%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
COT
4 - 2
ATP
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
JMA
0 - 1
PAR
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
OPE
4 - 1
JMA
46%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 0
JMA
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
JMA
2 - 1
CCR
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 2
COT
14%
21%
66%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |