Athletico Paranaense vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 1
ATP
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
ATP
1 - 0
PAL
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATP
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 2
FLU
37%
27%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 1
GOI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
GRÊ
4 - 1
GOI
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 1
GRÊ
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
CRZ
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 3
GRÊ
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 0
GRÊ
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |