Athletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2006 |
JUV
3 - 2
ATP
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ATP
0 - 0
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 1
ATP
54%
22%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ATP
3 - 1
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
GOI
2 - 2
ATP
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SCI
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
PPE
0 - 1
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 0
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
CRZ
1 - 0
PAL
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
CRZ
1 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |