At. Nacional vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 2
HUR
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
HUI
0 - 1
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
HUR
0 - 0
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
COR
2 - 0
NAC
22%
28%
50%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
HUR
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
ONC
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
IND
3 - 0
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 2
IND
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
AGU
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
JAG
2 - 2
IND
16%
25%
60%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |