At. Nacional vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PER
0 - 0
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
IND
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
SFE
3 - 2
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 2
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
SFE
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 1
TOL
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 0
AME
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
EQU
0 - 2
TOL
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
PER
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
IND
1 - 3
TOL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |