At. Nacional vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 1
VAS
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
CAL
0 - 0
NAC
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
3 - 0
POR
70%
16%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
2 - 1
VAL
85%
10%
5%
|
73 | 32 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
CAL
1 - 0
CRZ
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
CRZ
3 - 2
VAS
59%
26%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 1
CRZ
41%
30%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1974 |
SAN
1 - 3
CRZ
54%
26%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1974 |
CRZ
1 - 1
VAS
56%
28%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |