Apertura Colombia Temporada regular round 11

At. Nacional vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis

At. Nacional Atlético Bucaramanga
80 ELO 79
4.1% Tilt -8.1%
362º General ELO ranking 401º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
55.4%
At. Nacional
24.1%
Draw
20.5%
Atlético Bucaramanga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
At. Nacional
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.5%
Win probability
Atlético Bucaramanga
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
At. Nacional
+15%
+4%
Atlético Bucaramanga

Points and table prediction

At. Nacional
Their league position
Atlético Bucaramanga
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
15º
12º
38
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Deportes Tolima
38
38
100%
Atlético Bucaramanga
38
38
100%
Santa Fe
34
34
100%
Deportivo Pereira
34
34
100%
La Equidad
33
33
100%
Millonarios
31
31
100%
Junior
29
29
100%
Once Caldas
29
29
0%
Independiente Medellín
29
29
0%
América de Cali
10º
25
25
10º
100%
Águilas Doradas
11º
25
25
11º
100%
At. Nacional
12º
24
24
12º
0%
Fortaleza
13º
24
24
13º
0%
Jaguares FC
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Deportivo Cali
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Deportivo Pasto
16º
19
19
16º
100%
Boyacá Chicó
17º
18
18
17º
100%
Envigado
18º
16
16
18º
0%
Alianza FC
19º
16
16
19º
0%
Patriotas Boyacá
20º
15
15
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
At. Nacional
Atlético Bucaramanga
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

At. Nacional
Atlético Bucaramanga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

At. Nacional
At. Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2024
JUN
Junior
0 - 0
At. Nacional
NAC
44%
27%
30%
80 80 0 0
29 Feb. 2024
NAC
At. Nacional
0 - 3
Nacional
NAC
57%
23%
20%
80 78 2 0
26 Feb. 2024
EQU
La Equidad
2 - 0
At. Nacional
NAC
38%
29%
34%
80 80 0 0
22 Feb. 2024
NAC
Nacional
1 - 0
At. Nacional
NAC
41%
26%
33%
80 78 2 0
17 Feb. 2024
CAL
Deportivo Cali
3 - 2
At. Nacional
NAC
36%
28%
37%
80 77 3 0

Matches

Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Bucaramanga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2024
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
6 - 2
Real Santander
REA
69%
19%
12%
78 61 17 0
03 Mar. 2024
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
3 - 0
Patriotas Boyacá
PAT
57%
25%
18%
78 70 8 0
22 Feb. 2024
TOL
Deportes Tolima
0 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
51%
26%
23%
77 80 3 +1
20 Feb. 2024
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
1 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
46%
27%
27%
77 76 1 0
16 Feb. 2024
AME
América de Cali
0 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
54%
25%
21%
76 80 4 +1