At. Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MIL
2 - 1
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PAS
0 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
5 - 0
SFE
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
SFE
1 - 2
PAS
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 0
SFE
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PAS
0 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
MIL
2 - 1
PAS
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
PAS
3 - 2
PAT
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |