Estudiantes Murcia vs Olímpico de Totana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDA
0 - 1
NUE
30%
22%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 0
MUL
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
YEC
1 - 3
NUE
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NUE
0 - 2
LAU
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EGP
2 - 1
NUE
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Olímpico de Totana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MUL
1 - 0
OLI
52%
23%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 1
LAU
28%
24%
49%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LFC
5 - 2
OLI
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 3
PIN
48%
24%
29%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PUL
2 - 1
OLI
33%
26%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |