Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Atl. Mineiro vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
ATM
3 - 2
CRI
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
NOB
2 - 0
ATM
33%
27%
41%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
ATM
41%
25%
33%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 0
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 0
ATM
34%
25%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
NOB
2 - 0
ATM
33%
27%
41%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
NOB
0 - 1
ARG
57%
25%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
TAL
1 - 0
NOB
23%
23%
53%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
RAF
0 - 3
NOB
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
NOB
5 - 0
CAU
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |