Série A Segunda Fase Grupo A/B Jor. 3

Atl. Mineiro vs Náutico analysis

Atl. Mineiro Náutico
84 ELO 77
-2.4% Tilt -13.9%
82º General ELO ranking 1632º
12º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
66.7%
Atl. Mineiro
19.6%
Draw
13.7%
Náutico

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
Atl. Mineiro
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.7%
Win probability
Náutico
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Atl. Mineiro
Náutico
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atl. Mineiro
Atl. Mineiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 1985
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 0
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
45%
26%
29%
84 79 5 0
10 Mar. 1985
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
65%
20%
15%
84 86 2 0
06 Mar. 1985
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 2
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
59%
22%
18%
84 84 0 0
03 Mar. 1985
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
2 - 0
Cruzeiro
CRZ
56%
23%
22%
84 81 3 0
27 Feb. 1985
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
2 - 1
Goiás EC
GOI
64%
21%
16%
84 79 5 0

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 1985
NAU
Náutico
1 - 1
América RJ
AME
60%
22%
18%
77 75 2 0
10 Mar. 1985
NAU
Náutico
3 - 2
Grêmio
GRE
38%
26%
36%
77 85 8 0
06 Mar. 1985
NAU
Náutico
2 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
44%
26%
30%
76 81 5 +1
03 Mar. 1985
COT
Coritiba
2 - 0
Náutico
NAU
55%
25%
20%
77 80 3 -1
27 Feb. 1985
NAU
Náutico
0 - 0
Corinthians
COR
49%
26%
25%
77 82 5 0
X