Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
First-leg 0-1
Atl. Mineiro vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
ATM
50%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BAH
3 - 0
ATM
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 0
SAO
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 3
ATM
50%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
ATM
45%
26%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
ATM
50%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 1
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 2
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 1
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |