Copa Libertadores Final

Atl. Mineiro vs Botafogo analysis

Atl. Mineiro Botafogo
87 ELO 88
0.8% Tilt -13.2%
89º General ELO ranking 76º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45%
Atl. Mineiro
24.9%
Draw
30.1%
Botafogo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
Atl. Mineiro
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30%
Win probability
Botafogo
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atl. Mineiro
-6%
+12%
Botafogo

ELO progression

Atl. Mineiro
Botafogo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atl. Mineiro
Atl. Mineiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2024
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
2 - 3
EC Juventude
JUV
49%
25%
26%
88 88 0 0
24 Nov. 2024
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 2
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
47%
27%
27%
88 88 0 0
21 Nov. 2024
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
0 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
49%
25%
26%
88 88 0 0
16 Nov. 2024
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 0
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
49%
26%
26%
88 88 0 0
14 Nov. 2024
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 0
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
47%
26%
27%
88 88 0 0

Matches

Botafogo
Botafogo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2024
PAL
Palmeiras
1 - 3
Botafogo
BOT
52%
24%
23%
88 88 0 0
23 Nov. 2024
BOT
Botafogo
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
54%
24%
22%
88 86 2 0
21 Nov. 2024
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
0 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
49%
25%
26%
88 88 0 0
09 Nov. 2024
BOT
Botafogo
0 - 0
Cuiabá
CUI
53%
25%
22%
88 88 0 0
06 Nov. 2024
BOT
Botafogo
3 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
50%
25%
26%
88 88 0 0