Mancha Real vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
ATA
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RON
0 - 0
MAN
44%
27%
30%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 0
ANT
57%
24%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UDS
2 - 0
MAN
58%
24%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
LOJ
0 - 0
LIN
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 0
LOJ
43%
24%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LOJ
1 - 0
AME
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CDE
0 - 1
LOJ
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LOJ
2 - 1
ALH
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |