At. Malagueño vs Poli Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
2º
1º
15
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 78 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 72 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 52 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 50 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 50 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 43 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 40 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 31 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 25 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
72% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
28% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAL
2 - 0
RJA
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAL
22%
25%
52%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 0
CDL
74%
16%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 0
MAR
84%
12%
5%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDT
0 - 0
MAL
18%
25%
58%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CDT
5 - 1
POL
52%
25%
24%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
POL
4 - 1
CDM
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 3
POL
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
PAL
22%
26%
52%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
HUE
1 - 0
POL
73%
17%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |