Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-4
At. Malagueño vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
24.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1992 |
MAL
2 - 1
BAE
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
JUV
0 - 7
MAL
23%
28%
49%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
MAL
3 - 0
NER
91%
8%
2%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
ILI
2 - 0
MAL
39%
29%
31%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -3 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
MAL
2 - 1
ATA
72%
18%
11%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1992 |
MEL
1 - 0
REC
29%
34%
37%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
VIL
0 - 1
MEL
20%
31%
49%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
POL
0 - 1
MEL
59%
25%
15%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1992 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAR
39%
31%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
MEL
1 - 0
SAN
41%
32%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |