At. Malagueño vs FC Málaga City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
2º
1º
12
12º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
28 | 77 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 73 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 67 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 64 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 61 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 55 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 50 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 50 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 43 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 41 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 35 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 30 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 30 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 30 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 27 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
50.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
46.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
MAL
15%
20%
66%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MAL
3 - 0
PAL
52%
26%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
HUE
4 - 0
MAL
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 0
TOR
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 2
MAL
13%
19%
68%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
FC Málaga City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CDM
3 - 1
CDT
25%
25%
51%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 2
CDM
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 0
PAL
17%
24%
59%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HUE
1 - 0
CDM
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |