Atlético Madrileño Sub 19 vs FC Cartagena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+165%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
2º
14º
2º
28
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
3º
|
1% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 43.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Madrileño Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
UCA
0 - 1
ATL
11%
18%
71%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
5 - 0
MUR
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ALZ
2 - 3
ATL
11%
18%
71%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
KEL
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CDR
0 - 0
ATL
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Cartagena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 3
VIL
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
RAN
47%
24%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 0
CAR
28%
23%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
ALB
28%
24%
48%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |