Atlético vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
OVI
1 - 3
ATM
42%
23%
35%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ATM
5 - 3
RSO
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATM
65%
17%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
ATM
6 - 1
DEP
78%
13%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
SEV
0 - 1
ATM
55%
20%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
VCF
4 - 1
VAD
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
VCF
2 - 1
OVI
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
RSO
1 - 1
VCF
43%
22%
35%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
VCF
4 - 0
FCB
62%
18%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
DEP
5 - 1
VCF
39%
23%
38%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |