Atlético vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.6%
11.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ATH
1 - 1
ATM
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
ATM
4 - 1
OSA
85%
10%
6%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATM
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
ATM
3 - 0
VCF
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATM
44%
22%
34%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
RAC
4 - 3
FCB
30%
24%
47%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
SEV
2 - 1
RAC
78%
13%
10%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
RAC
0 - 0
DEP
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
OVI
2 - 1
RAC
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
ESP
0 - 0
RAC
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |