Atlético vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
ATM
1 - 1
RSO
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1980 |
ATM
3 - 1
POR
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
SLA
1 - 1
ATM
33%
28%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1980 |
POR
1 - 4
ATM
15%
22%
64%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
SEV
2 - 1
HER
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1980 |
HER
2 - 1
TRJ
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
HER
1 - 0
MAL
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1980 |
TRJ
1 - 2
HER
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
BUR
1 - 1
HER
51%
28%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |