Atlético vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 1
ATM
29%
28%
44%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 2
SGD
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 3
SPO
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
HER
2 - 3
ATM
30%
28%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 2
ATM
28%
28%
45%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
MAL
2 - 1
SEV
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
MAL
1 - 2
ESP
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
GIM
0 - 0
MAL
32%
24%
44%
|
68 | 16 | 52 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
MAL
3 - 0
DEP
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |